1. A European defence industrial strategy in a hostile world - Bruegel
20 nov 2024 · In many ways, an arms race similar to or worse than that of the Cold War appears a possibility. Europe is thus in a sort of race with Russia.
Any strategy will need to take account of evolving Russian capacities, evolving political willingness and evolving defence industrial capacities
2. Strategic Stability: Deterrence and Arms Control - HCSS
How Europe can shape a reinvigorated arms control regime is an open question, but one which HCSS seeks to answer in our Deterrence and Arms Control programme.
Deterrence and arms control are often perceived to be in contradiction with one another, but they are in fact complementary. Deterrence is raising the costs and risks of unwanted actions by an adversary to dissuade them from taking those actions; arms control is finding common ground between adversaries on which costs and risks are acceptable and how states can achieve strategic stability. Questions of deterrence and arms control have become more complicated over the past decade, driven by intensified geopolitical competition in Asia and Europe, by emerging technologies, such as artificial intelligence and cyber capabilities, or refinements in existing technologies, such as ballistic, hypersonic, and cruise missiles. Unlike the bipolar Cold War, the US would now have to find common ground with both Russia and China. How Europe can shape a reinvigorated arms control regime is an open question, but one which HCSS seeks to answer in our Deterrence and Arms Control programme.
3. A Strategic Compass for Security and Defence | EEAS - European Union
Video: Strategic Compass 2024 · Factsheets
Video: Strategic Compass 2024
4. Up in arms: European security options for a post-cooperative era | ECFR
20 sep 2024 · The de facto absence of European arms control regimes has opened political and operational security gaps.
The de facto absence of European arms control regimes has opened political and operational security gaps. NATO and its partner states should strengthen their cross-border expertise and balance stronger deterrence measures with effective restraint
5. Europe at war and European defence: the same as ever?
23 okt 2024 · European defence must defend Europe and must also provide security to third parties as it has done up to now. For this it requires large multinational units.
Europe faces a decisive moment for its defence, in a context of active conflicts and global geopolitical tensions.
6. Europe at a Strategic Disadvantage: A Fragmented Defense Industry
18 apr 2023 · As of last year, Europe operates more than five times as many weapons systems as the United States in certain categories, including main battle ...
When Russia invaded Ukraine last year, the European continent was unprepared for war. European rejection of large-scale conflict had become so deeply
7. Atlantisch Perspectief | Paul van Hooft: On Arms Control, Europe ...
19 jun 2023 · The European arms control regime inherited from the Cold War is in dire straits. In 2023, Russia suspended cooperation with the United States on ...
Europe’s arms control regime inherited from the Cold War is crumbling, and according to HCSS senior strategic analyst Paul van Hooft sitting on the sidelines is not an option, he writes in an article for the magazine of the Netherlands Atlantic Association. He explores the urgency of engaging with rivals and adversaries, including China, competing with Russia by investing in advanced conventional weapons, and prioritize strategic stability through arms control.
8. Strategic Stability in Europe after the Russian Invasion of Ukraine
13 dec 2023 · This report provides an overview of strategic stability in Europe 18 months after the onset of the further Russian invasion of Ukraine.
This report provides an overview of strategic stability in Europe nearly two years after the onset of the further Russian invasion of Ukraine.
9. European strategic and economic interests drive controversial arms ...
11 okt 2021 · A restrictive arms export policy is systematically pushed aside for strategic and economic interests. Ending European arms exports to wars, conflict zones and ...
10. The Erosion of Strategic Stability and the Future of Arms Control in Europe
9 nov 2018 · The instruments of cooperative security created during and since the Cold War to foster mutual confidence and reduce the risks of war, ...
The instruments of cooperative security created during and since the Cold War to foster mutual confidence and reduce the risks of war, inadvertent escalation, and arms races, in and around Europe, have come under increasing strain.
11. Europe's dark future: How might a protracted conflict between Russia ...
3 mei 2024 · ... strategic balance in Europe. For Russia, sharing nuclear weapons with Belarus might well backfire politically. NATO countries should ...
As the situation on the battlefield has changed in recent months to the detriment of Ukraine, a “prolonged war” where there is no decisive military victory on either side is the most likely scenario, writes ELN Policy Fellow Katia Glod. Based on a scenario-building workshop with experts from Ukraine, Russia, and wider Europe, she outlines what implications this could have for Europe and how the EU and UK can prepare for it.
12. [PDF] Arms Control: For and By Europe - CSS/ETH Zürich
Cooperative strategic nuclear arms control, key to Europe's post-Cold. War security, has become hostage to returning great power competi- tion. A European ...
13. Will Strategic Stability Between the West and Russia Require Arms ...
12 feb 2024 · Western officials should consider what European security will look like after Russia's war against Ukraine. Any conceivable end-game ...
Arguably, there is a need to connect the dots between four somewhat separate discourses: military rearmament in Russia, conditions for peace in Ukraine, rebuilding defense in the West and prospects for future arms control. A recent article posted by the Foreign Policy Research Institute argued:“A formal dissolution of the (CFE) Treaty would undermine Western normative commitments to
14. Introduction - The Strategic Compass of the European Union
The return of war in Europe, with Russia's unjustified and unprovoked aggression against Ukraine, as well as major geopolitical shifts are challenging our ...
Introduction - Explore the Strategic Compass of the European Union and its impact on both EU and non-EU firms, including security, defense, and strategic collaboration.
15. Defending Europe with less America | ECFR
3 jul 2024 · For the 2024 fiscal year, and as war raged on in Ukraine, the Pentagon allocated $3.6 billion from its budget to the “European Deterrence ...
Shifting US priorities and a degrading security environment – not to mention the possibility of a second Trump presidency – mean Europeans finally have to take more responsibility for their own…
16. Russia-Ukraine War's Strategic Implications | IAI Istituto Affari ...
20 feb 2024 · This IAI study offers a holistic analysis of the conflict and its implications for the armed forces of European countries, as well as for ...
This IAI study offers a holistic analysis of the conflict and its implications for the armed forces of European countries, as well as for NATO, EU defence, aerospace and defence industry in the Euro-Atlantic area. The first section of the document investigates the key features of the conflict across the five operational domains: land, naval, air, space and cyber. It also assesses allied military supplies to Ukraine and the defence industry’s difficulties in Europe and US to ramp up production as required by the war.
17. Rearming Europe To Win Ukraine's Long War
15 feb 2024 · A Russian victory on this basis, with the absorption and subjugation of a country like Ukraine, would in itself alter the strategic and military ...
Words Without Substance Over the course of the three decades that followed the end of the Cold War, Europeans were able to believe that their security faced no external existential threat. Of course, violence was always lurking with the wars that followed the breakup of Yugoslavia and jihadist terrorism. These…
18. Europe's Responsibility within the Arms Control Regime after Ukraine ...
I discuss the needs in the European context and the extent to which arms control or strategic stability issues could be raised with Russia during the war and in ...
The European approach to arms control is ill-suited to address these trends. In the European context, arms control and nonproliferation were often presented as ends in and of themselves, with Europeans taking an explicitly multilateral approach. Multilateralism worked out particularly well within Western Europe during the Cold War, and then to deal with a reunified Germany and the addition of multiple former Warsaw Pact states to the European Union. The relief that followed the fall of the Berlin Wall and the dissolution of the Soviet Union was immense, and together with the limits imposed on European power and autonomy during the unipolar era, the end of the Cold War arguably led to the deep institutionalization within Europe of multilateralism as an approach that relied less on raw power. Europeans then hoped to reshape how international politics writ large were performed.59 Arguably, the European multilateralist approach to nonproliferation contributed to strategic stability (type I).
